“You know, I’ve got a little secret here,” Romney told a rally crowd of a few hundred supporters. “That is that the Obama campaign thinks Pennsylvania is in their pocket — they don’t need to worry about it. And you’re right, and they’re wrong.

“We’re going to win Pennsylvania. We are going to take the White House.”

At the fundraiser earlier this morning in Philadelphia, Romney was more circumspect about his chances, telling donors it would “really shock people” if, on Nov. 6th, Pennsylvania seemed to be going his way. He first predicted “it could happen” before closing with an outright prediction: “I’m going to win Pennsylvania.”

Romney’s campaign has not run any television advertisements in the Keystone state, and the candidate himself has not appeared here since mid-summer. No Republican has carried Pennsylvania since George H. W. Bush in 1988.

is he bluffing or does he know sumpin we dunno?