I’ll put the over/under on the shutdown at five days. McCarthy will be under a lot of pressure to make a deal to reopen the government from his members, because they know they will be taking the blame from angry voters, and they have no leverage over the Democrats, who also know the Republicans are taking all the blame. McCarthy has to shut down the government, at least for a short time, to delay the inevitable motion to vacate the chair that is coming.

WASHINGTON (AP) — A last-ditch Republican funding effort collapses in the House, leaving the government on the verge of a shutdown.

— Hugo Lowell (@hugolowell) September 29, 2023